Esports Today 2/23/2016

[Rob Zacny]

Esports Today February 24, 2016:



Heel Turn
Rob and Andrew discuss Fnatic's embrace of the villain role in the ongoing drama of CSGO, plus Rob is called to account for his bad pre-season LCS predictions.

CS:GO, League of Legends, Dota 2

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[Wertwert765]

For anyone wondering what the stats are for the Shanghai major and who is favored it is clearly Ehome. Noxville simulated the tournament about a million times and here are the results.

http://stats.noxville.co.za/tournament/shanghai

In terms of players and analysts who showed their predictions, Xiao8, Merlini, NS, Black, LightofHeaven, Nahaz, and Noxville all picked Ehome if you want to see the rest of their predictions check out

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1k_edWIomIc6iUYrZX86aQV_6wQsRdqe-BueGI7kHCM0/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true

[sclpls]

Yeah I basically agree with Andrew's analysis of the teams most likely to win the Shanghai Major except that I think he is vastly underrating EHOME's chances, and maybe slightly overrating OG's chances. While I made a prediction of EG winning the tournament, I find the arguments that EHOME is the favorite to be very persuasive.

 

OG are still a very strong team, but I think there are a couple of teams that have their number and should be able to knock them out.

 

Alliance look incredibly strong, but teams also know exactly how they are going to be running their game, so the big question is whether they can get countered (cue that old Alliance meme). I really expect them to be like CDEC at TI5 and have a great run where they end up in 2nd place.

 

EHOME and EG hae very similar strengths as teams, so I'm really not sure who wins in that matchup if they both go the grand finals. I think I favor EHOME in that scenario, but I'm not convinced that they will be facing each other in the grand finals (see Alliance).